January 2016 USA Market View

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Fig. 1 – Daily Candlestick chart of DRD. It went up 65% from US$1.70 to $2.80.

STOCKS. The best three stocks in the 1-month category are DRD @ 65%, SPKE @ 25% and MBTF @ 23%.

A stock trading on NYSE, DRD belongs to the Basic Materials sector, Gold industry. With 941 employees, this company founded in 1895 and based in Johannesburg, South Africa, engages in the retreatment, production, and sale of gold from surface tailings in the central Witwatersrand basin in Gauteng province South Africa.

The stock price went up because a solid Keltner Channel breakout occurred at the beginning of the month, a pattern which attracts increased attention from investors who kept on buying and buying throughout the month.

Three stocks with the biggest 1-month decline are AVXL @ –42%, NHTC @ –32% and NAII @ –24%.

The top three stocks in the 3-month category are FIVN @ 103%, LPTH @ 97% and DRD @ 87%.

In the 12-month category, the best three stocks are LINDW @ 418%, AVXL @ 398% and EGRX @ 268%.

In the “All time Highs” category, the best three stocks are AVNU, SPKE and CCF.

SECTORS. 18 industry sectors out of 182 are in green territory, a sharp decrease from last month.

The top three winners are ETFs – Non-Taxable Bonds, Utility – Gas Distribution, and Movie & TV Production & Distribution.

The bottom three sectors are Medical – HMO, Computer – Networks and Building & Construction – Misc.

MUTUAL FUNDS. The top performers this month are two of the Profunds Ultra Short China funds @ 27%, three of the Profunds Ultra Short funds @ 22% together with three of the Rydex Dynamic Fds Inverse Russell 2000 funds @ 22% and Direxion Monthly Small Cap Bear 2X Fund @ 17%.

EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS. The best three ETFs this month are Malaysia Index MSCI Ishares @ 3.84%, Chile Investable Mkt Idx MSCI Ishares @ 0.93% and S.Y. Bancorp @ 0.54%.

FUTURES. The top contracts are: (Currencies) US Dollar Index @ 0.69%, (Energies) Ethanol Futures @ 0.56%, (Financials) Ultra T-bond @ 4.96%, (Grains) Corn @ 2.65%, (Indices) CBOE S&P500 VIX @ 16.34%, (Meats) Lean Hogs @ 7.32%, (Metals) Gold @ 5.87% and (Softs) Cotton @ –3.26%.

INDEXES. The best three indexes are CBOE Volatility Index @ 25.62%, DOW Utilities @ 4.48% and S&P Utilities @ 3.64%.

DOW Jones Industrial Average finished down @ –7% this month.

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Relevant in January were titles like: “This might be the best advice for stock market investors going into 2016”, “EL-ERIAN: Saying stocks had ‘their worst year since 2008’ only tells a tiny part of the story”, “Fischer Worries Fed Can’t Head Off or Contain Financial Crises”, “A stock-market crash of 50%+ would not be a surprise — or the worst-case scenario”, “Here’s what happened the last 10 times the stock market disintegrated into a bear market”, “Why oil will keep breaking down”, “The Fed engineered the bull market”, “Bill Gross thinks things are about to get so bad we’re all going to need a Xanax”, “GEORGE SOROS: It’s like the 2008 financial crisis all over again”, “Jeremy Siegel: S&P Will See 10% Upside by Year-End”, “Facebook: The phone number is dying”, “Faber: Stocks have been falling for over a year—and it’s going to get worse”, “Cramer: The 14 steps to a REAL market bottom”, “Oil’s damage is done, Wells Fargo’s “super bear” changes stance”, “Oil’s slide below $30 sends shockwaves far and wide”, “Why the plunge in oil is crushing all stocks”, “Get used to it: Big drops for stocks are back again”, “There’s a bullish type of fear that could cause investors to storm back into the stock market”, “The case for buying amid the market selloff”, “’Selling stampede’ not over”, “BlackRock’s Koesterich Says Stocks, Oil Have Further to Fall“, “Gross Says Global Selloff Shows Failure of Central Bank Efforts”, “10 ways to tell whether the selling has stopped”, “Here’s when the market selloff will end for good”, “Here’s when the market selloff will end for good”, “Why oil and stocks are trading in lockstep”, “Market volatility won’t lead to recession: Glenn Hutchins“, “If Bloomberg runs, he’ll be the richest presidential candidate ever”, “Went to cash? Here’s the next mistake you’ll make”, “The middle class is feeling better, but the wealthy are feeling worse”, “Why traders are really bearish on oil”, “The global economy will be worse than people think: portfolio manager”, “Panicky sellers will be sorry: Schwab strategist“, which are self-explanatory.

E&OE.

Predictions are underlined for future verification.

John Craciun snapshot

by John Craciun
www.GainTraders.com

2016-10-16T18:53:54+00:00 February 2nd, 2016|Categories: John Craciun Analysis|0 Comments

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